Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 15.216242 17.745214 20.498787 23.711118 27.346865 31.325149 35.998343
2025-04-06 10.645335 14.024768 18.088962 23.294656 29.738983 37.405531 47.161687
2025-04-13 7.677241 11.199289 15.795387 22.138716 30.558223 41.230287 55.641278
2025-04-20 6.498765 10.293544 15.578275 23.308823 34.129875 48.512481 68.800510
2025-04-27 5.730621 9.751609 15.673655 24.772980 38.085436 56.480272 83.359489
2025-05-04 4.896696 8.926480 15.185333 25.254222 40.596796 62.558520 95.683391
2025-05-11 4.114525 8.022213 14.410939 25.147761 42.144529 67.283322 106.319243
2025-05-18 3.422791 7.131562 13.506613 24.680598 43.022445 70.997367 115.629115
2025-05-25 2.865579 6.369961 12.692011 24.225410 43.813229 74.554522 124.838735
2025-06-01 2.404899 5.698567 11.927520 23.737423 44.455718 77.858622 133.785503
2025-06-08 1.932607 4.906169 10.819969 22.496252 43.682477 78.800228 139.015884
2025-06-15 1.789703 4.781823 10.956608 23.512228 46.852388 86.312094 155.122597
2025-06-22 1.639190 4.634810 11.072579 24.587652 50.374240 94.898857 173.942650
2025-06-29 1.356546 4.122188 10.376753 24.038723 50.953966 98.637768 185.143879
2025-07-06 1.074227 3.534910 9.418189 22.829356 50.165100 99.922246 192.255674
2025-07-13 0.998467 3.471761 9.614471 24.026349 54.077638 109.767824 214.663086
2025-07-20 0.947376 3.465293 9.939229 25.528127 58.702145 121.168064 240.388495
2025-07-27 0.845311 3.283746 9.814011 26.021766 61.333536 129.054208 260.267224
2025-08-03 0.727913 3.021785 9.443980 25.912497 62.706008 134.654462 276.296827
2025-08-10 0.612564 2.730298 8.944574 25.433129 63.243216 138.673205 289.607264
2025-08-17 0.515593 2.469382 8.477831 24.966023 63.749554 142.637381 302.989836
2025-08-24 0.432535 2.229533 8.023413 24.465224 64.123558 146.340117 316.038981
2025-08-31 0.341513 1.921372 7.305797 23.191295 62.628188 146.176159 321.641044